TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the Solana price on October 31. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution over possible outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Solana will be within a specific price range, the higher the price of shares representing that range will climb. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd and provides a real-time assessment of market sentiment regarding Solana’s future price.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded on a widely recognized exchange at a specific time on October 31. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s methodology, but it will rely on publicly available data to ensure transparency and accuracy. Traders will then receive payouts based on their holdings in the market and whether their predicted outcome matched the actual Solana price.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 31, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as significant upgrades to the network, partnerships with large companies, or the launch of popular decentralized applications, could all impact the price. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or overall cryptocurrency market sentiment, could also play a role. Unexpected regulatory announcements or security breaches affecting Solana or the wider crypto space are additional catalysts that could cause shifts in the odds within this market. News regarding competing layer-1 blockchains could also influence trading activity.