TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the Solana price being less than $60 on October 30. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and sentiment. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded on a widely recognized exchange at a specific time on October 30. The exact price source will be determined by Polymarket’s resolution process. This market provides a way to speculate on and hedge against potential price movements in Solana leading up to that date.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as successful upgrades or partnerships, could drive the price higher. Conversely, negative news regarding network security, scalability issues, or increased regulatory scrutiny could push the price down. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or shifts in investor sentiment towards cryptocurrencies, will also play a role. Keep an eye on key technical indicators and overall market trends, as these can all influence trading activity in this market.