TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 1:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations for Solana. While spot prices reflect immediate trading activity, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders about the future price on Oct 3, 2026. This can reveal whether the crowd anticipates significant price movements, potentially driven by upcoming network upgrades, broader cryptocurrency market trends, or macroeconomic factors. Discrepancies between the market’s implied price and analyst forecasts can highlight areas of disagreement or overlooked information.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the Solana price on October 3, 2026. As more traders participate, the price of these shares adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe Solana will be above a certain price, the shares representing that outcome will become more expensive, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing model based on real-time market sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on the actual price of Solana as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source at a specific time on that date. The market will determine whether the price was above or below the level defined within the market’s parameters. Traders should monitor news and data sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential price-influencing events.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 3, 2026. Major developments in the Solana network, such as successful upgrades or the launch of new decentralized applications, could positively impact the price. Conversely, security breaches, regulatory scrutiny, or increased competition from other blockchain platforms could exert downward pressure. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, macroeconomic conditions, and overall investor sentiment will also play a crucial role in shaping the price expectations reflected in this market.