TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Crypto
Solana price on October 3?
polymarket

Solana price on October 3?

Volume:
$3,339

110-120

 - Polymarket

110-120 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 1:25 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

110-120

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

100-110

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,263
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

130-140

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$811
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-90

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$530
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>170

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$180
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<80

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-130

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

90-100

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-150

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

150-160

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-170

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Solana price market tracks the current implied probability of the price of Solana being above or below a certain level on October 3, 2026. You’ll find the current odds, a price history chart reflecting how the market has priced Solana over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $1,698. The total volume traded in this market is $3,339, providing insight into overall interest. This information helps traders understand market sentiment and make informed decisions.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations for Solana. While spot prices reflect immediate trading activity, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders about the future price on Oct 3, 2026. This can reveal whether the crowd anticipates significant price movements, potentially driven by upcoming network upgrades, broader cryptocurrency market trends, or macroeconomic factors. Discrepancies between the market’s implied price and analyst forecasts can highlight areas of disagreement or overlooked information.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the Solana price on October 3, 2026. As more traders participate, the price of these shares adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe Solana will be above a certain price, the shares representing that outcome will become more expensive, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing model based on real-time market sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on the actual price of Solana as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source at a specific time on that date. The market will determine whether the price was above or below the level defined within the market’s parameters. Traders should monitor news and data sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential price-influencing events.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 3, 2026. Major developments in the Solana network, such as successful upgrades or the launch of new decentralized applications, could positively impact the price. Conversely, security breaches, regulatory scrutiny, or increased competition from other blockchain platforms could exert downward pressure. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, macroeconomic conditions, and overall investor sentiment will also play a crucial role in shaping the price expectations reflected in this market.