TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 12:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, the odds on this market reflect a collective prediction about Solana’s price on the specified date. These predictions are often compared to those from traditional sources like financial analysts and polling data. If analysts predict a significant price increase, we might see increased demand for ‘yes’ outcomes in this market, driving up their price. Conversely, if sentiment is bearish, ‘no’ outcomes will likely become more favored. It’s important to remember that prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than any single source.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the Solana price. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of the outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, indicating higher confidence in the outcome, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of Solana’s potential price.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded by a widely recognized and trusted data source at the specified time. The market will determine whether the price is above or below a pre-defined level, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor news and data sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential price fluctuations and their impact on the market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market’s price before Oct 29, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as significant upgrades to the blockchain or the launch of popular decentralized applications, could drive demand and increase the price. Broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space, including regulatory changes or shifts in investor sentiment, will also play a role. Unexpected news events, like security breaches or major partnerships, could also cause substantial price movements in this market, reflecting the collective assessment of traders.