TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different outlook than some spot price expectations for Solana. While traditional analysts may offer price targets based on technical analysis or fundamental valuation, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders willing to put capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, information advantages held by traders, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s important to consider that this market is forward-looking, attempting to predict a price on a specific date, while spot price expectations are based on current conditions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the Solana price on October 28, 2026. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution of potential outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the price will be above a certain level, the higher the contract price, and vice versa. The total volume traded in this market is currently $2,102, indicating the level of interest and participation.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source at the specified time. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s standard procedures for verifying market data. Traders should review the platform's documentation for full details on the resolution process, as it outlines the specific criteria used to determine the final outcome of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution date. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as significant upgrades to the network or the launch of highly anticipated decentralized applications, could impact the price. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation, could also play a role, as these can influence investor sentiment towards risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Regulatory announcements related to cryptocurrency or blockchain technology are another potential catalyst, as are any major security breaches or exploits affecting the Solana network.