TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective on future events, potentially offering a different viewpoint than traditional spot price expectations. This market, specifically, aggregates the beliefs of traders regarding Solana’s price on a specific date. While spot prices reflect current market conditions, the odds here represent a probabilistic forecast. Discrepancies can arise due to factors like information asymmetry, risk aversion, or differing interpretations of available data. It's useful to consider both when forming your own opinion on Solana's trajectory.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of Solana being above or below a certain price point on the resolution date. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought, the higher the price goes, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price, suggesting decreasing confidence. This dynamic process establishes a real-time market consensus on Solana’s future price.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source at the specified time. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual Solana price on that date. It's important to note that the exact methodology for determining the price will be outlined in the market’s official rules on Polymarket.
Numerous signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as upgrades to the network or the launch of new decentralized applications, could influence trader sentiment. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including Bitcoin’s performance and overall investor risk appetite, will also play a role. Regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency, especially those specifically targeting Solana, could cause substantial price swings. Finally, significant macroeconomic events or shifts in global financial conditions could indirectly affect this market.