TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective on the potential price of Solana compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect immediate supply and demand, this market aggregates the beliefs of numerous traders regarding the price on Oct 26, 2026. If a significant difference emerges between the implied probability in this market and the expectations of analysts or polls, it could indicate that traders possess information or insights not yet reflected in conventional price discovery mechanisms. This divergence can be a valuable signal for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the Solana price on October 26, 2026. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased indicating a certain outcome, the higher the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd and provides a real-time assessment of market sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source at a specific time on that date. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform's standard procedures for verifying market events, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 26, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as significant upgrades to the blockchain, partnerships with prominent companies, or changes in developer activity, could all impact trader sentiment. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrencies, could also play a role. Unexpected news regarding competing blockchain platforms or shifts in overall market risk appetite could also influence trading activity in this market.