TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect the immediate value of Solana, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders about its value on a specific future date. If a significant difference emerges between the implied price from this market and analyst forecasts, it could indicate that traders possess information or insights not yet reflected in conventional analysis. This divergence can be a valuable signal for those following the cryptocurrency space, providing an alternative data point to consider alongside traditional financial indicators.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Solana price ranges. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of Solana falling within that range on October 25. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. The market’s efficiency stems from the incentive structure, encouraging traders to express their true beliefs, ultimately leading to a probabilistic forecast of the Solana price.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded on a widely recognized cryptocurrency exchange at a specific time on October 25. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform's standard procedures, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 25, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as significant network upgrades, partnerships, or the release of new decentralized applications, could influence trader sentiment. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrencies, could also play a role. Unexpected news regarding competing blockchain projects or shifts in overall market risk appetite could also impact the price of Solana and, consequently, the odds within this market. Monitoring these factors is crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market.