TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, the odds reflected in this market offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. Polls and analyst forecasts often rely on fundamental and technical analysis, while this market represents a collective, incentivized prediction from a diverse group of traders. Discrepancies between the prediction market probabilities and external forecasts can indicate areas where the market perceives information differently or anticipates unexpected events impacting the Solana price.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the Solana price on October 24. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that increased buying pressure will raise the price, indicating growing confidence in a particular outcome, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as reported by a widely recognized and trusted exchange at a specific time on October 24. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any relevant supporting data on Polymarket following the resolution period, allowing for transparency and verification of the results.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 24, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as significant upgrades to the network or the launch of highly anticipated decentralized applications, could influence price expectations. Broader macroeconomic factors, including changes in interest rates or regulatory announcements related to cryptocurrency, could also play a role. Unexpected news regarding competing blockchain projects or security vulnerabilities within the Solana network are additional catalysts to watch.