TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast of where Solana will trade on October 23, 2026. These odds often differ from simple spot price expectations or analyst predictions, as they represent a weighted average of many individual opinions. This market aggregates insights from a diverse group of traders, potentially revealing a more nuanced outlook than a single forecast. It’s worth noting that prediction markets have historically been shown to be surprisingly accurate in forecasting various events, including financial outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the Solana price. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of a particular price range being correct. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that as more traders believe Solana will reach a certain price, the shares representing that outcome become more expensive, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of market sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded on a widely recognized exchange at a specified time on October 23, 2026. Traders will be able to see the final price and how it corresponds to the different outcome ranges offered in this market. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the price.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as upgrades to the network or the launch of new decentralized applications, could influence the price. Broader macroeconomic trends, including changes in interest rates or inflation, could also play a role. Additionally, regulatory announcements related to cryptocurrencies, or significant shifts in investor sentiment, could cause substantial movement in this market. Unexpected news related to competing blockchain projects could also impact the perceived value of Solana.