TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 12:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds offer a unique perspective on spot price expectations, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders willing to put capital behind their beliefs. Unlike polls that rely on stated opinions, this market incentivizes accurate predictions through financial stakes. If a significant number of traders believe Solana will exceed a certain price point, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially indicating a stronger bullish sentiment than traditional surveys might reveal. This provides a forward-looking assessment of Solana’s potential price, distinct from current market values.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different Solana price outcomes. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to incorporate new information and sentiment. The market's efficiency relies on active participation and the willingness of traders to express their views honestly, creating a dynamic and responsive price discovery process for Solana’s future value.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the USD value of one Solana (SOL) as reported by a widely recognized and trusted exchange at a specific time on October 22. The precise reporting exchange and time will be detailed in the market's resolution rules on Polymarket. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as successful network upgrades or the launch of highly anticipated decentralized applications, could boost confidence and drive up prices. Conversely, negative news regarding network stability, security vulnerabilities, or regulatory scrutiny could exert downward pressure. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or overall cryptocurrency market sentiment, will also play a role in shaping trader expectations and influencing the price of Solana in this market.