TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective on the potential price of Solana compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect the immediate value, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders about where the price will be on a specific date. If a significant difference exists between the implied price from this market and analyst forecasts, it could indicate that traders possess information or insights not yet reflected in conventional price predictions. It’s a fascinating way to gauge collective intelligence about future price movements.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Solana price ranges. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the market's collective prediction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a specific price range is likely, the higher the price of contracts representing that range will climb. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated forecast of Solana’s price on October 20, based on the aggregated wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the price of Solana is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of Solana on that date, as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source. Traders who correctly predicted the price range will receive a payout proportional to their wager and the market odds at the time of their trade. The market will then close, and all outstanding contracts will be settled.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 20, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as successful network upgrades or the launch of highly anticipated decentralized applications, could drive up prices. Conversely, negative news, like security breaches or regulatory challenges, could exert downward pressure. Broader macroeconomic trends, including changes in interest rates or overall cryptocurrency market sentiment, will also play a role. Keep an eye on these events, as they are likely to cause fluctuations in the odds and volume of this market.