TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to typical spot price expectations. While traditional analysts may offer price targets based on technical analysis or fundamental valuation, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders willing to put their capital at risk. This creates a unique signal, as the odds represent a probabilistic forecast of where the price will land, rather than a single point estimate. It’s a way to gauge market confidence in various price scenarios for Solana, offering a different lens than conventional forecasting methods.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different Solana price ranges. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution for the price of Solana on the resolution date. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular price range is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds reflect the most up-to-date collective assessment of Solana’s potential price.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Solana price on that date is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and trusted source for Solana’s price at the specified time. The market will determine which price range accurately predicts the price of Solana, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome. This provides a clear and objective resolution process for all participants.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 19, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as significant network upgrades, partnerships, or the launch of highly anticipated decentralized applications, could influence trader sentiment. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or overall cryptocurrency market trends, could also play a role. Unexpected news regarding regulatory scrutiny or security vulnerabilities within the Solana network could also cause substantial shifts in the odds. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential price movements.