TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds suggest a high probability that the price of Solana will fall within a specific range on October 18. This contrasts with typical spot price expectations, which are based on current market conditions and immediate trading activity. This market allows traders to express beliefs about the future price, incorporating factors beyond the immediate supply and demand. It's a forward-looking indicator, potentially reflecting sentiment and anticipated news events that aren't yet fully priced into the spot market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Solana price ranges. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that price range occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. The most actively traded contracts indicate the price ranges traders consider most likely, and the overall market volume of $1,962 shows the level of interest in predicting Solana’s price.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded on a widely-recognized exchange at a specific time on October 18. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s methodology, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual Solana price at the time of resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as updates to the network or the launch of new decentralized applications, could influence price expectations. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including changes in Bitcoin’s price or regulatory announcements, are also likely to have an impact. Unexpected news regarding Solana’s partnerships or adoption rates could also cause shifts in the market. Macroeconomic factors, like inflation data or interest rate decisions, could also play a role in influencing the price of Solana.