TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective on future events, potentially offering a different outlook than traditional spot price expectations. This market, for example, aggregates the beliefs of many traders regarding the future price of Solana. While spot prices are based on current supply and demand, this market incorporates forward-looking information and diverse opinions. Discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and spot price expectations can present trading opportunities, as the market adjusts to new information and evolving sentiment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the Solana price on the resolution date. The price of these shares directly reflects the market’s collective probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the price will be above a certain level, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays responsive to new information and changing opinions about Solana’s future performance.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded on a widely recognized and trusted exchange at a specific time on October 17, 2026. Traders will be able to view the verified outcome on Polymarket following the resolution, and payouts will be distributed accordingly based on their holdings in the market.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as upgrades to the blockchain or the launch of popular decentralized applications, could influence price expectations. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including changes in Bitcoin’s price or regulatory announcements, could also play a role. Furthermore, macroeconomic factors like inflation rates or interest rate decisions could affect investor sentiment and drive trading activity in this market. Any significant news related to Solana’s adoption or technology could cause substantial shifts in the odds.