TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 12:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds often provide a different perspective on future events than traditional spot price expectations or polls. This market, for example, represents a weighted average of informed opinions, as traders risk real capital on their predictions. If a significant number of traders believe Solana will increase in value, the odds will reflect that sentiment, potentially diverging from what analysts or public opinion currently suggest. Examining this difference can offer valuable insights into the collective wisdom of the crowd regarding the future price of Solana.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of Solana reaching a certain price level by the resolution date. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price fluctuates based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, indicating growing confidence in a particular outcome, while increased selling pressure lowers it. The current volume traded is $5,329.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded on a widely recognized exchange at a specific time on October 16. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform's established procedures and will be publicly available after the market closes. Traders should review the platform’s documentation for full details regarding the resolution process.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 16, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as significant upgrades to the network or the launch of popular decentralized applications, could influence trader sentiment. Broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space, including changes in Bitcoin's price or regulatory announcements, could also have an impact. Unexpected news regarding Solana’s partnerships or adoption rates could also cause substantial shifts in the odds within this market.