TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 12:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the Solana price on October 15. These odds represent what traders believe is the probability of Solana trading within specific price ranges at that time. This differs from simple spot price expectations, which are just a snapshot of the current price. This market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a more nuanced view of future price movements than relying on individual analysts or polls alone. Examining the odds can reveal how traders are weighting various factors that might influence Solana’s price.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the Solana price on October 15. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the market’s collective prediction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Solana will be above a certain price, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market odds always reflect the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the USD-denominated price of Solana as reported by a widely-recognized and trusted exchange at the specified time. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased shares align with the actual Solana price on October 15. This allows for a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, ensuring fair payouts to all participants.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 15, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as significant upgrades to the network, partnerships with prominent companies, or the launch of highly anticipated decentralized applications, could all influence price expectations. Broader macroeconomic trends, including changes in interest rates or overall cryptocurrency market sentiment, could also play a role. Unexpected regulatory announcements or security breaches within the Solana network represent potential negative catalysts that could shift the odds in this market.