TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Solana price on October 12?
polymarket

Solana price on October 12?

Volume:
$4,619

100-110

 - Polymarket

100-110 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 12:14 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

100-110

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$280
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

90-100

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,608
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

110-120

View
0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-130

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$958
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>160

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$348
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<70

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70-80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

150-160

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

130-140

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-150

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-90

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Solana price market tracks the current implied probability of the Solana price being above or below a certain level on October 12. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, a price history chart showing how the market has fluctuated over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $2,205. The total volume for this market is $4,619, indicating the overall interest and activity surrounding predictions about Solana’s future price.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast about the Solana price on October 12. These odds represent what traders believe is the likelihood of different price outcomes, based on their analysis of available information. This differs from simple spot price expectations, which are a snapshot of the current market value. When compared to polls or analyst predictions, this market aggregates a diverse range of perspectives, potentially offering a more informed view of future price movements.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the Solana price. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution for the outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the weighted average of all traders’ predictions, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of sentiment. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards a more accurate forecast.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as reported by a widely recognized and trusted exchange at a specific time on October 12. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of whether the market resolves in favor of those who predicted a higher or lower price.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 12, 2026. Major news regarding Solana’s network upgrades, partnerships, or regulatory developments could all shift trader sentiment. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, such as Bitcoin’s price movements or changes in overall investor risk appetite, will also play a role. Additionally, macroeconomic events, like interest rate decisions or inflation reports, could indirectly impact the Solana price and, consequently, this market.