TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to typical spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect immediate supply and demand, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders regarding the Solana price on a specific future date. If a large number of traders believe Solana will increase in value, the odds will reflect that sentiment, potentially differing from current market prices. This difference can be useful for understanding the collective forecast for Solana’s future performance, offering a valuable signal beyond simple price charts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the Solana price on October 11, 2026. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to the resolution date, the more the price will likely move as new information becomes available and traders refine their forecasts, making it a dynamic representation of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded by a widely recognized and trusted source at the specified time. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual Solana price on that date. This allows for a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, ensuring fairness for all participants.
Several signals and events could significantly move this market before Oct 11, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as significant upgrades to the blockchain, partnerships with large companies, or changes in regulatory policies, could all impact the perceived value of Solana. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or overall cryptocurrency market sentiment, could also play a role. Unexpected news regarding competing blockchains or technological breakthroughs in the crypto space could also influence trading activity within this market.