TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, the odds reflected in this market offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect immediate market conditions, this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders regarding the price of Solana on a specific future date. This allows for a forward-looking assessment that differs from current market valuations. Analysts and polls often focus on short-term trends, whereas this market captures a broader range of potential outcomes and associated probabilities, providing a distinct signal about future price movements.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the Solana price on October 10, 2026. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe the price will be above a certain level, the higher the contract price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd participating in the market, and the current volume indicates the level of interest in this particular prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded by a widely recognized and trusted data source at the specified time. The precise price used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s standard procedures for verifying external data, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 10, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as significant upgrades to the network, the launch of popular decentralized applications, or changes in developer activity, could all influence price expectations. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrencies, could also play a role. Unexpected news regarding competing blockchain platforms or shifts in overall market sentiment towards crypto assets could also cause substantial price fluctuations in this market.