TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
90-100
- Polymarket
90-100 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:18h:18m
$
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than simple spot price expectations. While the current spot price of Solana influences trading, this market incorporates future expectations and perceived risks. The implied probabilities within this market represent the collective wisdom of traders, factoring in potential catalysts like network upgrades, regulatory changes, and broader market trends. This differs from a simple poll of analysts, which might focus on short-term technical analysis rather than the broader range of factors considered by traders actively putting capital at risk.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Solana price ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that price range being correct on Nov 8, 2026. As more traders buy into a specific outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with traders expressing their beliefs about Solana's future price through their trading activity. This creates a dynamic and efficient forecast.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded on a widely-recognized exchange at a specific time on November 8th. The exact time and exchange will be defined in the market’s documentation on Polymarket. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligns with the verified price at the time of resolution, reflecting the collective prediction of the market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 8, 2026. Major developments in the Solana network, such as successful upgrades or unexpected outages, would likely impact trading. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including the performance of Bitcoin and Ethereum, will also play a role. Regulatory news concerning cryptocurrency, particularly in the United States, could introduce volatility. Finally, significant adoption announcements or partnerships involving Solana could shift trader sentiment and influence the price of contracts within this market.