TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:17h:09m
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This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the Solana price on November 6. These odds represent what traders believe is the most likely outcome, based on available information and their own analysis. This differs from simply looking at the current spot price, which is a snapshot in time. Spot price reflects immediate buying and selling pressure, while this market aggregates diverse perspectives to predict a future value. Comparing these two can reveal whether the market anticipates price increases or decreases relative to the present.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Solana price ranges. The price of each contract reflects the implied probability of that price range being correct on November 6. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders buy into a particular outcome, the higher its price becomes, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment among traders.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Solana price at that time is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded by a widely-recognized and trusted data source. This ensures an objective and transparent determination of the winning outcome, based on real-world data. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 6, 2026. Major news regarding Solana’s network upgrades, partnerships, or adoption by institutional investors could all shift trader sentiment. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, such as Bitcoin’s performance or changes in regulatory policies, will also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic events or shifts in global risk appetite could also impact the price of Solana and, consequently, the odds in this market. Monitoring these developments is crucial for understanding potential price movements.