TOTAL VOLUME:
$155b
24H VOL:
$291,703,288
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,001,463,625
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,957,545,529
414,484
Markets across
39,701
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,434
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
80-90
- Polymarket
80-90 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 01d:22h:46m
$
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect immediate market sentiment, this market aggregates the beliefs of individuals willing to put capital behind their predictions. If a significant difference emerges between the implied probability from this market and broader analyst forecasts, it could signal a contrarian opportunity or highlight information not yet fully incorporated into spot prices. It’s important to note that prediction markets are forward-looking, reflecting expectations about the future price of Solana.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of Solana falling within specific price ranges on November 5. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective wisdom of participants.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the price of Solana is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing price of Solana as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source at the specified time. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual Solana price on November 5. The market’s outcome is determined by the verified price, not by any individual’s opinion or analysis.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 5, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as significant network upgrades or partnerships, could influence price expectations. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or inflation data, could also impact the crypto market as a whole. Additionally, news regarding regulatory scrutiny of cryptocurrencies or significant shifts in investor sentiment could all contribute to fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.