TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
90-100
- Polymarket
90-100 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 4, 2026
Time left: 01d:16h:26m
$
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the Solana price on November 4. These probabilities, as expressed in this market, can be compared to expectations derived from traditional sources like financial analysts’ price targets and polling data regarding future cryptocurrency values. Discrepancies between the prediction market and these other sources may indicate differing levels of confidence or access to information. It’s important to remember that prediction markets represent a weighted average of many individual opinions, offering a unique perspective on potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in different Solana price ranges. The price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought for a particular price range, the higher its probability becomes, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment among traders. The current top outcome, with a chance of 66.5%, is a Solana price between $100 and $110.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the spot price of Solana as reported by a widely-recognized cryptocurrency exchange at a defined time on November 4. The precise price used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s established procedures, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the market’s accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 4, 2026. Major news regarding Solana’s network upgrades, partnerships, or adoption by institutional investors could drive price movements. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, such as changes in Bitcoin’s price or regulatory developments, will also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic events, like shifts in interest rates or inflation data, could impact risk sentiment and affect Solana’s price. Finally, significant technical developments or security breaches related to the Solana blockchain could also cause substantial shifts in this market.