TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 12:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a range of expectations for the Solana price on November 1. These expectations are often compared to those found in traditional financial polls and analyst forecasts. However, unlike polls that rely on stated opinions, this market aggregates the beliefs of traders who have 'skin in the game,' meaning they are financially incentivized to be accurate in their predictions. This can lead to a more informed and potentially more accurate forecast than relying solely on surveys or expert opinions. The market’s collective wisdom offers a unique perspective on potential price movements.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded on a widely-recognized exchange at a specific time on November 1. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform’s standard procedures for verifying market events. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the final, verified Solana price at the time of resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 1, 2026. Major developments in the broader cryptocurrency market, such as changes in Bitcoin's price or regulatory announcements, could impact Solana. News regarding Solana's network upgrades, partnerships, or adoption rates could also influence trading activity. Unexpected macroeconomic events or shifts in investor sentiment towards risk assets could also play a role. Any significant news impacting the overall health and perception of the Solana ecosystem has the potential to shift the odds in this market.