TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Solana above ___ on October 9?
polymarket

Will Solana be above the price on October 9?

Volume:
$63,508

105

 - Polymarket

105 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 12:14 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

105

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,523
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

100

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,965
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

95

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,639
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

110

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,955
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,379
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

115

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,027
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

125

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,080
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$396
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

135

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$308
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

145

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

130

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Solana price market dashboard tracks the current implied probability of the price of Solana being above a certain level on October 9. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the trading volume of $43,793 over the past 24 hours. The dashboard also displays the total volume traded to date, which currently stands at $63,508. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and activity surrounding this specific prediction.

Currently, the odds on Polymarket suggest a strong belief that the price of Solana will be above the threshold set for this market. This differs from typical spot price expectations, which are based on current market conditions and short-term trading activity. Prediction markets incorporate a wider range of information, including future events and potential catalysts, to forecast the outcome. The implied probability derived from this market offers a unique perspective on potential price movements compared to traditional analysis.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of Solana being above the specified price on the resolution date. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that as more traders believe the price will rise, the shares become more expensive, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of market sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as recorded by a widely recognized and trusted source at the specified time. The platform will verify the final price against these sources to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the 'yes' or 'no' outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as upgrades to the network or the launch of new decentralized applications, could influence the price. Broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space, including changes in Bitcoin’s price or regulatory announcements, could also have an impact. Unexpected news regarding Solana’s partnerships or adoption rates could also shift sentiment and alter the odds in this market.