TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Currently, the odds on Polymarket reflect a strong belief that Solana will be above a certain price point by October 30. This contrasts with broader market sentiment, which may be influenced by short-term volatility and news cycles. Prediction markets often aggregate diverse perspectives and can offer a more forward-looking assessment than spot prices, which represent only the current moment. It's important to consider that this market represents the collective prediction of traders specifically focused on this outcome, and may differ from general analyst forecasts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of Solana being above the target price on October 30. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective wisdom of participants, and changes dynamically based on supply and demand for these shares.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana at a specific time on October 30, as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source. The exact price used for resolution will be determined by the platform's standard procedures for verifying market data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as successful upgrades or partnerships, could drive the price upward. Conversely, negative news regarding network security, regulatory scrutiny, or increased competition from other blockchains could exert downward pressure. Broader macroeconomic trends, like changes in interest rates or overall cryptocurrency market sentiment, will also play a role. Any significant event affecting the perceived value and adoption of Solana could lead to substantial shifts in the odds of this market.