TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Solana above ___ on October 23?
polymarket

Will Solana be above the price on October 23?

Volume:
$52,280

100

 - Polymarket

100 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 12:12 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

100

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,281
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

95

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

85

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,490
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

90

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

80

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$515
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

105

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,271
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

110

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,435
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

115

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,234
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,153
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

125

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

130

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Solana price market dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are pricing the probability of Solana being above a certain price on October 23. You’ll find the current odds, reflecting the implied probability of a ‘yes’ outcome, as well as a price history chart showing how sentiment has shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour volume traded in this market, giving an indication of how much activity there is around this prediction. Currently, the volume is $17,972.

Currently, the implied probability in this market reflects a strong belief that Solana will be above a certain price point by Oct 23, 2026. This contrasts with broader market sentiment, which is often gauged through analyst forecasts and polls. While these sources provide valuable insights, they represent opinions, whereas this market represents capital at stake. The difference between the prediction market's implied probability and external forecasts can highlight areas of disagreement or unique information incorporated by traders.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of Solana being above the specified price on Oct 23, 2026. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and efficient forecast. The current volume traded in this market is $47,664, indicating the level of interest and conviction among traders.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source at a specific time on October 23. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result. The market's outcome is determined by whether Solana's price meets the predetermined threshold.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 23, 2026. Major news regarding Solana’s network upgrades, partnerships, or adoption by institutional investors could drive price movements. Broader macroeconomic trends, such as changes in interest rates or inflation, can also impact the cryptocurrency market as a whole. Unexpected regulatory announcements or security breaches related to Solana could also lead to substantial shifts in the market’s odds. Monitoring these events will be crucial for understanding the evolving sentiment surrounding the Solana price.