TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:13h:02m
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a strong belief that Solana will be above a certain threshold by November 6. This differs from typical spot price expectations, which are based on current market conditions and short-term trading activity. Prediction markets, however, aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of factors and potential future events. While spot prices reflect immediate supply and demand, this market reflects a probabilistic forecast of where the price will be on a specific date.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of Solana being above the specified price on November 6. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought, the higher the price goes, indicating increasing confidence in that outcome. Conversely, selling shares lowers the price, suggesting decreasing confidence. This dynamic pricing ensures the market odds reflect the collective judgment of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana as reported by a widely recognized and trusted source at the specified time. The market will determine whether Solana’s price meets the conditions set forth in the market description, resulting in a payout to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor the market closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 6, 2026. Major news regarding Solana’s network upgrades, partnerships, or adoption by institutional investors could drive the price up. Conversely, negative news, such as security breaches or regulatory concerns, could push the price down. Broader market trends in the cryptocurrency space, including Bitcoin’s performance and overall investor sentiment, will also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic events or shifts in global risk appetite could also influence trading activity in this market.