TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:16h:05m
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Currently, the odds in this market suggest a strong belief that the price of Solana will be above a certain threshold on November 5. These expectations are formed by the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket, who are putting their capital at risk based on their analysis of various factors. Comparing this to broader spot price expectations requires looking at analyst forecasts and polling data, which currently show a range of predictions for Solana's future price. This market offers a unique, real-money perspective on those expectations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of Solana being above the specified level by the resolution date. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and changing sentiment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to the latest developments and provides a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana at a specific time on November 5, as reported by a widely recognized and trusted data source. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual price at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 5, 2026. Major news regarding Solana's network upgrades, partnerships, or regulatory developments could all impact trader sentiment. Broader macroeconomic factors, such as changes in interest rates or inflation, could also influence the price of Solana and, consequently, the market. Unexpected events in the wider cryptocurrency market, like a significant hack or a major regulatory crackdown, could also cause substantial shifts in this market's pricing.