TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 12:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a unique perspective on the potential future price of Solana, differing from typical spot price expectations. While spot prices reflect the immediate value, this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders about where the price will be on Nov 2, 2026. If a significant difference exists between the implied probability in this market and analyst forecasts, it suggests the crowd holds a contrarian view. This can be useful for understanding broader market sentiment and potential price movements.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Solana will be above a certain price on November 2, 2026. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by new information, market sentiment, and the actions of other traders participating in the market.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the price of Solana at a specific time on that date, as determined by a widely recognized and publicly available data source. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual price of Solana at the time of resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 2, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as significant upgrades to the blockchain or the launch of popular decentralized applications, could influence trader sentiment. Broader macroeconomic factors, like changes in interest rates or regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrencies, could also have an impact. Unexpected news regarding Solana’s competitors or general market volatility could also drive price fluctuations in this market.