TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:17h:38m
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This event tracks the price of Solana (SOL) at a specific moment, using a precise measurement method to determine the outcome. The resolution depends on where the price falls within a range of predefined brackets at a set time, reflecting real-world financial monitoring of cryptocurrency values.
The event resolves based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI immediately before 5 PM EST on Nov 6, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, and the market associated with the range into which the official average falls will resolve to Yes, with all others resolving to No. The official price is determined by collecting 60 RTI prices during the last minute before expiration and averaging them. Participants should note that cryptocurrency price data can vary across sources, and the CF Benchmarks RTI is the definitive reference for this event.
Prediction market odds offer a unique perspective on future spot prices, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders. Unlike traditional polls that rely on stated opinions, this market incentivizes accurate predictions with real financial stakes. Currently, the implied probabilities in this market represent a forecast of where the price of SOL will be on November 6, 2026, at 5pm EST. These expectations can differ from those found in analyst reports or general market sentiment, providing a potentially valuable signal for those following the cryptocurrency space. The market aggregates diverse viewpoints into a single, tradable forecast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, similar to a stock exchange. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different SOL price ranges. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current prices indicate the probability that SOL will fall within each specified range at the designated time. The market's depth and volume provide insights into the level of confidence behind these predictions, and the dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome determined by the price of SOL on November 6, 2026, at 5pm EST. The price will be verified against credible public reporting from established cryptocurrency exchanges. The contract corresponding to the price range that includes the actual SOL price at the specified time will pay out $1 per share, while all other contracts will settle to $0. Traders should monitor the market closely as the resolution date approaches, as prices may become more volatile as new information emerges.
Numerous signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as upgrades to the network, partnerships with prominent companies, or changes in developer activity, could all influence price expectations. Broader macroeconomic factors, including interest rate decisions, inflation data, and overall cryptocurrency market trends, will also play a role. Regulatory announcements related to cryptocurrencies, particularly those impacting Solana, could trigger substantial price movements. Unexpected security breaches or technological setbacks could also negatively affect this market.