TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Solana's price will fall within specific price ranges on June 2, 2026, measured by a 60-second average at 5 PM EDT.
Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective belief about where SOL will trade at the resolution timestamp, incorporating forward-looking sentiment and volatility expectations. Spot price expectations from crypto analysts and on-chain data typically focus on near-term technicals and sentiment, while prediction markets embed longer-dated uncertainty and tail risk into pricing. The market odds may diverge from analyst consensus if traders price in macro events, regulatory shifts, or Bitcoin correlation effects differently. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is more bullish, bearish, or uncertain relative to current expert forecasts.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this SOL price range event is structured as a binary or multi-outcome contract where each price bracket is priced independently based on order-book supply and demand. Traders buy YES or NO shares at prices reflecting the implied probability of SOL landing in that range by the resolution time. Kalshi's pricing mechanism updates continuously as new orders flow in, with the spread between bid and ask reflecting market uncertainty and liquidity depth. The contract's final price at any moment represents the marginal trader's assessment of that outcome's likelihood.
This market resolves on Jun 2, 2026. The outcome is determined by SOL's official price at the specified resolution timestamp of 5pm EDT on June 2, 2026. The market will settle to the price bracket outcome that contains SOL's actual spot price at that moment, as verified by the platform's data source. Once the resolution time passes and the price is confirmed, the winning outcome is locked in and traders' positions are settled accordingly.
Major catalysts include Solana ecosystem developments such as network upgrades, validator performance metrics, or adoption milestones that affect developer confidence. Macro crypto events like Bitcoin volatility, Federal Reserve policy shifts, or institutional inflows into digital assets can drive broad SOL correlation. Regulatory announcements targeting Solana or the broader crypto sector may trigger sharp repricing. Competition from other Layer-1 blockchains, changes in DeFi activity on Solana, and shifts in venture funding for Solana-based projects also influence longer-term price expectations. Geopolitical events and traditional market stress can spill into crypto markets unpredictably.