TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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SOL price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

SOL price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$52,525

$95 or above

 - Kalshi

$95 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$95 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,177
N/A
N/A
$2,553
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$94 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,876
N/A
N/A
$1,718
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$91 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,567
N/A
N/A
$1,519
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$93 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$934
N/A
N/A
$420
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$92 or above

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$137
N/A
N/A
$127
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$89 or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
$89
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$90 or above

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
$63
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$83 or above

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$62
N/A
N/A
$62
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$85 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$88 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$86 or above

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$87 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$100 or above

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,088
N/A
N/A
$761
Settled
No
kalshi

$96 or above

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,690
N/A
N/A
$5,402
Settled
No
kalshi

$101 or above

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,283
N/A
N/A
$1,464
Settled
No
kalshi

$102 or above

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,461
N/A
N/A
$832
Settled
No
kalshi

$97 or above

View
0%
87%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,096
N/A
N/A
$1,115
Settled
No
kalshi

$99 or above

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,576
N/A
N/A
$732
Settled
No
kalshi

$98 or above

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,528
N/A
N/A
$540
Settled
No
kalshi

$104 or above

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$546
N/A
N/A
$429
Settled
No
kalshi

$107 or above

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$467
N/A
N/A
$467
Settled
No
kalshi

$103 or above

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$297
N/A
N/A
$279
Settled
No
kalshi

$106 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
kalshi

$115 or above

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$238
N/A
N/A
$238
Settled
No
kalshi

$105 or above

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$237
N/A
N/A
$144
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Description

This set of markets will determine whether the price of Solana (SOL) exceeds various thresholds at a specific future moment. The outcomes are based on a precise measurement taken at a set time, using a standardized method to calculate the average price over a short window.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' if, at 5 PM EDT on October 30, 2026, the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI immediately before that time exceeds a specific threshold. The thresholds increase sequentially across markets, ranging from $74.9999 to $123.9999. The official price is derived from the Real Time Index (RTI) provided by CF Benchmarks, with the final value determined by averaging 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration. All markets share this methodology, ensuring consistency in how the SOL price is measured and evaluated for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the SOL price market tracks the current implied probability of the SOL price falling within various ranges on October 30, 2026, at 5pm EDT. You can view the trading volume for this market, which is currently $29,854, as well as the 24-hour volume. The dashboard also displays the best available prices for buying or selling contracts related to this prediction. It provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of different SOL price outcomes as the event approaches.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast of the SOL price on Oct 30, 2026. These odds represent what traders believe the probability is of the SOL price being above or below a certain level at the specified time. Comparing this to spot price expectations, which are often derived from analyst forecasts or futures contracts, reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from expert opinions. This market offers a unique perspective, aggregating diverse viewpoints into a single, quantifiable prediction about the future price of SOL.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different SOL price ranges. The prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders regarding the likely outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to Oct 30, 2026, the more the contract prices will converge towards the actual SOL price, as uncertainty diminishes and traders refine their predictions. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and participation in this particular forecast.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the SOL price at 5pm EDT on October 30, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and trusted source for cryptocurrency pricing data. Traders who correctly predicted the SOL price range will receive a payout proportional to the contract’s value, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The market’s resolution provides a clear and objective assessment of the predictive accuracy of the crowd.

Several factors could significantly influence this market between now and Oct 30, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as significant upgrades to the blockchain or the launch of highly anticipated decentralized applications, could impact the SOL price. Broader macroeconomic trends, including changes in interest rates or inflation, and overall sentiment towards cryptocurrencies could also play a role. Regulatory announcements concerning cryptocurrency regulation, and any significant security breaches or hacks affecting the Solana network, would likely cause substantial movement in this market.