TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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SOL price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

SOL price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$31,092

$101 or above

 - Kalshi

$101 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$101 or above

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,580
N/A
N/A
$3,454
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$103 or above

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,855
N/A
N/A
$2,103
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$98 or above

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,715
N/A
N/A
$345
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$100 or above

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,302
N/A
N/A
$2,284
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$102 or above

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$728
N/A
N/A
$429
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$97 or above

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$252
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$99 or above

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
$133
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$80 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$90 or above

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$104 or above

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,465
N/A
N/A
$3,501
Settled
No
kalshi

$106 or above

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,694
N/A
N/A
$1,644
Settled
No
kalshi

$107 or above

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,608
N/A
N/A
$1,059
Settled
No
kalshi

$108 or above

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,499
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
No
kalshi

$105 or above

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,072
N/A
N/A
$703
Settled
No
kalshi

$112 or above

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$396
N/A
N/A
$391
Settled
No
kalshi

$113 or above

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

$115 or above

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$308
N/A
N/A
$308
Settled
No
kalshi

$114 or above

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

$109 or above

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
$267
Settled
No
kalshi

$110 or above

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
$144
Settled
No
kalshi

$120 or above

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
No
kalshi

$111 or above

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
$51
Settled
No
kalshi

$117 or above

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
No
kalshi

$116 or above

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

$118 or above

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
$34
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Description

This event tracks the price performance of a specific cryptocurrency at a precise future moment, using a standardized measurement method to determine the outcome. It focuses on whether the price exceeds various thresholds at a set time, providing a clear, time-bound test of market expectations.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple outcome thresholds based on the price of SOL (Solana) measured by CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI index at 5 PM EDT on October 23, 2026. Each threshold represents a distinct price level, ranging sequentially from $80 to $129 or above. For each market, the resolution depends on whether the simple average of the sixty seconds of SOLUSD_RTI prices immediately preceding 5 PM EDT exceeds the specific threshold defined in that market’s primary rule. The official price is determined by averaging 60 Real Time Index (RTI) price readings collected during the final minute before expiration. All markets share the same data source and methodology, ensuring consistency across thresholds. The secondary rules clarify that while external sources like Google or Coinbase may offer reference points, the definitive price for resolution comes exclusively from CF Benchmarks' RTI, emphasizing the importance of using the specified index for accurate determination.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the SOL price market tracks the current implied probability of various price ranges for Solana on October 23, 2026. You'll find a visual representation of the odds, along with a price history chart showing how the market has priced SOL over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $18,414, and the total volume traded to date, which is $31,092. This provides a comprehensive overview of market sentiment regarding the future price of SOL.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for the SOL price on the resolution date. These odds represent what traders believe the probability is of SOL trading at certain levels. Comparing this to spot price expectations—derived from analyst forecasts or traditional futures markets—reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from expert opinions. If there's significant disagreement, it suggests the market perceives information differently than conventional sources, potentially indicating an undervalued or overvalued asset. This market provides a unique perspective on future price movements.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different SOL price outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions, influencing the overall price discovery process for SOL.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome determined by the price of SOL as reported by a credible public source at 5:00 PM EDT on October 23, 2026. The reported price will be verified against credible public reporting. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the actual SOL price falls within the ranges defined by the market contracts. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, reflecting the real-world price of SOL at the specified time.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 23, 2026. Major developments in the Solana ecosystem, such as significant upgrades to the blockchain, partnerships with large companies, or changes in developer activity, could all impact the price. Broader macroeconomic trends, including interest rate changes, inflation data, and overall cryptocurrency market sentiment, will also play a role. Regulatory news regarding cryptocurrencies, particularly any rulings affecting Solana, could create substantial price volatility and shift the odds in this market.