TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Sense and Sensibility is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on October 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Sense and Sensibility is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on October 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a very high probability that “Sense and Sensibility” will achieve a Tomatometer score of 70 or higher. This contrasts with some pre-release analyst predictions, which were more divided on the film’s potential critical reception. While some critics anticipated a strong showing given the source material and cast, others expressed concerns about the adaptation’s faithfulness to the novel. The current odds reflect a strong consensus among traders that the film will be well-received, potentially exceeding initial expectations from certain corners of the film analysis community.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the Tomatometer score reaching at least 70. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. Currently, the market indicates a very high degree of confidence in a positive critical reception for “Sense and Sensibility”, as evidenced by the high price of shares representing that outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome determined by the final Tomatometer score reported by Rotten Tomatoes. The score will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. The resolution will reflect the percentage of positive reviews received by “Sense and Sensibility” from approved critics on the Rotten Tomatoes website. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on whether their predictions aligned with the final, officially reported score. The market will close prior to this date to prevent manipulation.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before it resolves. Early critic reviews, particularly those from highly-regarded publications, will likely have a significant impact. Positive buzz generated from film festival screenings or premiere events could also drive up the price. Conversely, negative reviews or reports of production issues could lower it. Any significant changes in public perception of the film, as reflected in social media sentiment, might also play a role. Ultimately, the market’s movement will depend on how traders interpret these signals and adjust their predictions accordingly.