TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
polymarket

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Volume:
$88,962

Google

 - Polymarket

Google - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 2:51 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Google

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,371
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

OpenAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,263
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Anthropic

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,431
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Moonshot

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,487
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Meta

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,294
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Z.ai

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,424
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SpaceXAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,346
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

DeepSeek

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,553
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

MiniMax

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$987
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alibaba

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$976
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Meituan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$949
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Amazon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$933
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Baidu

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$839
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nvidia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$826
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

ByteDance

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$825
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mistral

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$578
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Xiaomi

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$478
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Microsoft

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company A

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company B

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company C

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company D

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company E

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company F

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 32

Description

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the AI Agent Lab performance market tracks real-time odds and price history, showing how traders price the likelihood of different outcomes. It also displays 24-hour volume of $1,383 and total volume of $88,962, letting users monitor market interest and sentiment as the event develops. This focused view helps participants see how the market for the AI Agent Lab performance market is positioned ahead of the key October deadline.

This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final ranking of AI Agent Labs will be assessed against officially released performance metrics, and the second-place finisher at that time determines the result.

Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Key updates such as new benchmark releases, performance announcements, or changes in competitive positioning from leading AI Agent Labs may cause rapid re-pricing. Traders will also watch for any major technical revisions or partnerships that could alter perceived rankings, especially as Oct 31, 2026 approaches.