Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on August 10? Odds & Prediction Markets

Name: Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on August 10?
Start: 2026-08-07T12:00:33.000Z
End: 2026-08-10T20:00:00.000Z

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Monday, August 10, 2026 is higher than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Monday, August 10, 2026 is lower than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If RUT does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Russell 2000 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Monday, August 10, 2026 is higher than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Monday, August 10, 2026 is lower than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If RUT does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Russell 2000 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for the Russell 2000 direction market, along with 24-hour volume of $1,528. It shows how traders on Polymarket are positioning around the market's movement by Aug 10, 2026, giving you a real-time view of sentiment and liquidity through $1,528 in total volume.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually set prices through buying and selling shares that represent the two possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with volume of $1,528 showing how much activity has occurred in the last day. This dynamic pricing updates instantly as new information or trading patterns emerge.

This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch the closing value of the Russell 2000 index on that date, and the market will settle based on whether it finished higher or lower than the previous trading session.

Key events that could shift this market include major U.S. economic data releases, Federal Reserve policy updates, sector-specific news impacting mid-cap stocks, and broader geopolitical developments. Sudden shifts in trading volume or large bets on Polymarket may also reflect incoming information, so monitoring both news calendars and order book changes can help anticipate moves.

Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on August 10?

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