TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
"Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office
predict

"Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office

Volume:
$196

50-55m

 - Predict

50-55m - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 22, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 2:54 AM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

50-55m

View
100%
Yes 99.7¢No 0.3¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

55-60m

View
100%
49%
Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

<50m

View
100%
Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢
—
$398
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

60-65m

View
50%
Yes 99.7¢No 99.6¢
99.3¢
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

65-70m

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

70m+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve according to how much "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Predict

This market will resolve according to how much "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market participants are indicating a different outlook than many industry analysts. While some analysts predict an opening weekend between $50 million and $55 million, this market suggests a higher probability of the opening weekend falling between $55 million and $60 million. It’s important to remember that analyst forecasts are often based on pre-release buzz and historical data, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of individuals actively putting their money behind their predictions. This difference in outlook could shift as more information becomes available closer to the release date.

On Predict, this market is priced using a mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different opening weekend revenue ranges for “Resident Evil”. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a specific range, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood of that outcome. Conversely, if more people sell, the price decreases. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust predictions accordingly.

This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official opening weekend box office numbers for “Resident Evil” are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on reported domestic box office revenue for the film’s opening weekend, as reported by a major box office tracking service. The specific revenue range that corresponds to the winning outcome will be determined by these official figures. Traders should monitor official sources for the final box office results to understand the outcome of this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Positive or negative reviews from critics, the release of final trailer footage, and any unexpected news surrounding the film’s production or marketing could all shift trader sentiment. Strong pre-sale ticket numbers, if released, would likely increase the probability of a higher opening weekend. Conversely, any controversies or negative publicity could drive prices down. Keep an eye on social media trends and industry news for potential catalysts that could move the Resident Evil box office market.