TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

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37%

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QQQ Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
predict

Will QQQ be up or down by October 29?

Volume:
$23

QQQ Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

 - Predict

QQQ Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 1:45 PM EST

predict

Predict

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Outcome
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Chance %
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predict

QQQ Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the QQQ/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the QQQ/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the QQQ/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/qqq-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink QQQ/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T17:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the QQQ/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the QQQ/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the QQQ/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/qqq-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink QQQ/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T17:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the QQQ direction market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $23, with $23 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows participants to see how the perceived probability of the QQQ moving up or down is changing over time, and how much activity there is in the market. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment and allows traders to assess the potential profitability of their predictions.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often incorporating information and analysis from a diverse range of sources. This can sometimes lead to outcomes that differ from those predicted by individual analysts or traditional polls. While analysts may focus on specific fundamental or technical factors, this market aggregates the beliefs of many participants, potentially identifying overlooked risks or opportunities. It’s common to see discrepancies between expert opinions and the collective prediction, especially when significant uncertainty surrounds the event.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the QQQ will close higher or lower between 1:30PM and 1:45PM ET on October 29th. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe the QQQ will go up, the price of 'up' contracts increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of the QQQ between 1:30PM and 1:45PM ET on October 29th will determine whether the market settles in favor of 'up' or 'down'. The final price will be sourced from a reputable financial data provider, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their positions in the market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before its resolution. Unexpected economic data releases, such as inflation figures or employment reports, could shift investor sentiment and impact the QQQ. Major news events related to technology companies, which heavily comprise the QQQ, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, any significant geopolitical developments or changes in Federal Reserve policy could introduce volatility. Overall market risk appetite and trading volume will also play a role in how this market evolves leading up to Oct 29, 2026.