TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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QQQ Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
predict

Will QQQ be up or down by October 23?

Volume:
$94

QQQ Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

 - Predict

QQQ Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 3:30 PM EST

predict

Predict

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predict

QQQ Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1
$94
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the QQQ/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the QQQ/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the QQQ/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/qqq-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink QQQ/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T19:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the QQQ/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the QQQ/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the QQQ/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/qqq-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink QQQ/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T19:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the QQQ direction market tracks the current odds, displaying the implied probability of the QQQ closing up or down between 3:15PM and 3:30PM ET on October 23rd. It also provides a price history chart, showing how the probabilities have shifted over time. You'll find the total volume traded in this market, currently at $94, as well as the 24-hour volume, which is $93. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and activity around the QQQ's short-term movement.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may offer long-term predictions based on fundamental analysis, this market focuses on a very short timeframe – a 15-minute window. This difference in scope can lead to discrepancies. It’s common to see this market pricing in factors analysts might overlook in such a short period, like intraday trading patterns or breaking news. The collective wisdom of traders in this market provides a unique, real-time assessment of potential QQQ direction.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the QQQ’s direction. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective probability assigned to each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the QQQ will go up, the higher the price of the 'Up' contracts will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market odds are constantly updated to reflect the latest information and sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the QQQ closing price between 3:15PM and 3:30PM ET on October 23rd is higher or lower than its opening price at 3:15PM ET. The final price will be sourced from standard financial data feeds and will be publicly available shortly after the close of the specified timeframe. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the resolved outcome.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Unexpected economic data releases, such as inflation figures or jobless claims, could trigger a reaction in the QQQ. Major news events affecting technology companies, which heavily influence the QQQ, would also be impactful. Even seemingly minor announcements from key companies within the QQQ could cause shifts in trader sentiment. Finally, broad market trends and overall investor risk appetite will play a role in determining the direction of this market as traders react to changing conditions.