TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 9:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to Procter & Gamble's organic sales growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming first fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to Procter & Gamble's organic sales growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming first fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different view than many traditional analyst forecasts for Procter & Gamble’s Q1 organic sales growth. While some analysts predict a modest increase, this market suggests a wider range of possibilities are being considered by traders. It’s important to remember that prediction markets incorporate a diverse set of information, including not only public data but also insights from individuals with specialized knowledge. This can lead to outcomes that diverge from consensus estimates, offering a unique perspective on potential results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in different outcomes for P&G’s organic sales growth. The price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the market’s expectations. The current price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Q1 organic sales growth figure for Procter & Gamble is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the company’s reported results, as released through their official investor relations channels. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their holdings in the market. This allows for a transparent and objective determination of the market’s result, based on publicly available data.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any unexpected news regarding Procter & Gamble’s sales performance, such as preliminary reports or changes in consumer spending patterns, would likely impact trading activity. Broader economic indicators, like inflation rates or overall GDP growth, could also influence expectations. Additionally, announcements from competitors or shifts in the retail landscape could cause traders to reassess their positions in this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential price movements.