TOTAL VOLUME:
$143b
24H VOL:
$111,424,783
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,661,467,257
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,630,632,565
494,234
Markets across
37,330
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,871
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Buffalo: #2 seed or better
- Kalshi
Buffalo: #2 seed or better - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Jan 31, 2027
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These markets track whether specific NFL teams secure particular playoff seed positions at the end of the 2026-27 regular season. Each market focuses on a different team's ability to achieve a seed ranking that qualifies them for the postseason playoffs.
Each market evaluates a specific NFL team's performance at the conclusion of the 2026-27 regular season, determining if they achieve a designated seed ranking within their conference. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the team finishes the season with a seed equal to or better than the specified threshold (e.g., #2 seed or better, #3 seed or better, etc.). The resolution is based solely on the official final seedings published by the NFL following the regular season, reflecting win-loss records, tiebreakers, and conference standings. All markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NFL, and all team names, logos, and trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts frequently rely on team statistics and expert opinions, this market incorporates the collective wisdom of many traders, potentially identifying overlooked factors or reacting more quickly to breaking news. Discrepancies can arise from differing interpretations of player injuries, coaching decisions, or even subtle shifts in team morale. It’s common to see this market diverge from initial predictions, especially as new information becomes available and the playoffs draw nearer. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether a seed’s over/under will be exceeded. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a constantly updated assessment of each seed’s potential. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism driven entirely by supply and demand within the Kalshi marketplace.
This market resolves around Jan 31, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the final NFL playoff seeding is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the results will be determined by the official NFL playoff bracket as released by the league. The contracts will pay out based on whether the actual seed assigned to each team exceeds the over/under specified in the market. All outcomes are determined by the official NFL results and are not subject to individual interpretation or debate. Traders will be able to view the final results on Kalshi following the conclusion of the regular season.
Several key signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major player injuries, unexpected team wins or losses, changes in coaching staff, and even shifts in public perception can all influence trader behavior. Any news that alters the perceived strength of a team or their path to the playoffs is likely to move the odds. Late-season games with playoff implications will be particularly impactful, as will any significant upsets. Monitoring injury reports and closely following team performance in the final weeks of the season are crucial for understanding potential market movements.