TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Precipitation in Seoul in August?
polymarket

Precipitation in Seoul in August?

Volume:
$6,324

<150mm

 - Polymarket

<150mm - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 2, 7:37 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<150mm

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,086
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

150-200mm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,212
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

500mm+

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

350-400mm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$196
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

300-350mm

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

250-300mm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

400-500mm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

200-250mm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in August, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of August at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026. If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in August, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of August at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of August 2026. If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Seoul August precipitation market tracks real-time odds and price history, showing how traders view the likelihood of precipitation levels in Seoul during August. It also displays 24-hour volume of $3,713 and overall volume of $5,691, allowing users to monitor market activity and sentiment as the event approaches.

Currently, this market shows a strong tilt toward lower precipitation, with traders assigning a high probability to the 'less than 150mm' outcome. This contrasts with some analyst forecasts that suggest a more balanced or slightly higher chance of exceeding that threshold. The gap highlights how market participants may be weighing recent climate trends or model updates differently than traditional forecasting bodies.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Meteorological data for August precipitation accumulation in Seoul will be reviewed against the defined threshold to determine whether the market settles on the 'less than 150mm' or '150mm or more' outcome.

Key signals include updates from regional weather services, shifts in seasonal climate models, and any extreme weather events that affect precipitation forecasts for Seoul. Sudden changes in atmospheric conditions or influential climate reports could cause rapid re-pricing, especially as August approaches and real-time data starts to confirm or contradict current market expectations.