TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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PPI YoY - October 2026
polymarket

What will PPI YoY be in October 2026?

Oct 15, 2026, 10:24 PM EST - Nov 13, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$46,825
Volume 24h:
$4,760
7%
Liquidity:
$18,929
34%
Open interest:
$6,087N/A

6.8%+

 - Polymarket

6.8%+ - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 13, 2026

Time left: 11d:03h:49m

Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?

37%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 37¢ buys you 270 shares | Odds: 37% Total Payout: $270 | Net Profit: $170 Multiplier: 2.70x | ROI: 170% APY not meaningful 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

6.8%+

Trade
37%
10%
Yes 37¢No 64¢
1¢
$2,614
$25,774
7%
362%
N/A
1w 4d 3h
Active
polymarket

6.7%

Trade
14%
7%
Yes 16¢No 89¢
5¢
$2,808
$3,316
43%
216%
N/A
1w 4d 3h
Active
polymarket

6.5%

Trade
13%
1%
Yes 15¢No 90¢
5¢
$4,467
$6,768
42%
82%
N/A
1w 4d 3h
Active
polymarket

6.6%

Trade
5%
3%
Yes 9.9¢No 99.4¢
9.3¢
$1,252
$2,001
3%
30%
N/A
1w 4d 3h
Active
polymarket

6.4%

Trade
4%
Yes 7.5¢No 99.7¢
7.2¢
$1,502
$896
0%
13%
N/A
1w 4d 3h
Active
polymarket

6.1%

Trade
3%
Yes 5¢No 99¢
4¢
$1,240
$1,129
0%
86%
N/A
1w 4d 3h
Active
polymarket

6.0%

Trade
3%
Yes 5¢No 99¢
4¢
$1,096
$1,446
0%
18%
N/A
1w 4d 3h
Active
polymarket

≤5.9%

Trade
3%
Yes 4.9¢No 99.2¢
4.1¢
$1,299
$789
0%
179%
N/A
1w 4d 3h
Active
polymarket

6.3%

Trade
3%
Yes 5.3¢No 99.7¢
5¢
$1,207
$2,395
0%
77%
N/A
1w 4d 3h
Active
polymarket

6.2%

Trade
3%
Yes 4.7¢No 99.4¢
4.1¢
$1,445
$2,311
0%
89%
N/A
1w 4d 3h
Active
Total markets: 10

Description

This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending October 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in October 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on November 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Polymarket

This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending October 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in October 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on November 13, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the PPI inflation market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $4,884 and the total volume is $46,825. The dashboard provides a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of different PPI YoY inflation rates in October 2026. You can see the implied probabilities and how they've shifted over time, offering insights into market sentiment. This information is updated in real-time as traders buy and sell contracts.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a high probability of a specific PPI YoY inflation rate. This contrasts with broader analyst forecasts, which show a wider range of expectations for inflation over the same period. While many analysts predict continued inflationary pressure, their estimates vary considerably. The concentrated view reflected in this market indicates a stronger conviction about a particular outcome, potentially driven by specialized knowledge or a different weighting of economic indicators. It's important to note that prediction market prices represent a collective forecast, while analyst predictions are individual assessments.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the future PPI YoY inflation rate. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current top outcome, 'Will PPI YoY be 6.7% in October?', has a chance percentage of 36.5% according to traders on Polymarket. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of market expectations.

This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official PPI YoY inflation rate for October 2026 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) or a similar authoritative source. The market will determine which outcome corresponds to the reported figure, and payouts will be distributed accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements from the BLS as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the data release schedule.

Several economic signals and events could significantly move this market before Nov 14, 2026. Key indicators like monthly CPI and PPI reports, employment data, and Federal Reserve policy announcements will all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected shifts in energy prices or supply chain disruptions could also play a role. Geopolitical events and changes in government spending plans are additional factors to watch. Any news that alters expectations about future inflation will likely cause price fluctuations in this market, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest information.