TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.8b

24H VOL:

$153,964,051

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,815,744,871

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,809,858,743

498,684

Markets across

37,244

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,831

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

Kalshi:

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Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?
predict
polymarket

Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Sep 7, 2026, 11:04 AM EST - Jan 1, 2028, 12:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$385,348
Volume 24h:
$1,023
48%
Liquidity:
$413,855
0.17%
Open interest:
$164,856N/A

$25M

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?

53%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 56¢ buys you 179 shares | Odds: 53% Total Payout: $179 | Net Profit: $79 Multiplier: 1.79x | ROI: 79% | APY: 63% 433 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$25M

Trade
53%
1%
Yes 56¢No 50¢
6¢
$25,223
$81,566
0.07%
233%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
predict

$25M

Trade
43%
Yes 45.4¢No 59.6¢
5¢
$31,110
$796
12%
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
52.9%
Yes 50.7¢No 54.8¢
Avg: 5.5¢Max: 6¢
polymarket

$50M

Trade
49%
4%
Yes 57¢No 55¢
12¢
$28,407
$79,281
0%
125%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
predict

$50M

Trade
N/A
N/A
1.6¢
$29,739
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
49%
Yes 57¢No 55¢
Avg: 6.8¢Max: 12¢
polymarket

$75M

Trade
42%
Yes 46¢No 63¢
9¢
$23,680
$30,729
0%
300%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
predict

$75M

Trade
N/A
N/A
3.9¢
$29,767
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
41.5%
Yes 46¢No 63¢
Avg: 6.5¢Max: 9¢
polymarket

$100M

Trade
37%
Yes 38¢No 65¢
3¢
$23,565
$78,527
0%
132%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
predict

$100M

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
$29,817
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
36.5%
Yes 38¢No 65¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

$150M

Trade
32%
2%
Yes 37¢No 73¢
10¢
$15,741
$32,680
0.49%
366%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
predict

$150M

Trade
28%
Yes 30.3¢No 74.2¢
4.5¢
$30,098
$283
26%
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
32%
Yes 33.7¢No 73.6¢
Avg: 7.3¢Max: 10¢
polymarket

$250M

Trade
24%
Yes 25¢No 78¢
3¢
$20,965
$32,306
0%
159%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
predict

$250M

Trade
N/A
N/A
1.5¢
$29,834
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
23.5%
Yes 25¢No 78¢
Avg: 2.3¢Max: 3¢
predict

$200M

Trade
21%
Yes 21.5¢No 79.2¢
0.7¢
$30,166
$312
0%
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
polymarket

$200M

Trade
19%
Yes 37¢No 77¢
14¢
$15,410
$30,367
1%
276%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
19%
Yes 29.3¢No 78.1¢
Avg: 7.4¢Max: 14¢
polymarket

$400M

Trade
18%
1%
Yes 19¢No 83¢
2¢
$20,176
$18,500
0.22%
339%
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
predict

$400M

Trade
14%
Yes 16.4¢No 87.7¢
4.1¢
$30,158
$1
0%
N/A
N/A
1y 2mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
18%
Yes 17.7¢No 85.4¢
Avg: 3.1¢Max: 4.1¢
Total markets: 16

Description

These markets ask whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Papertrade's token will exceed a specified amount one day after its launch. The FDV is calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. Markets exist across a range of FDV thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution criteria, including the definition of 'launch', acceptable token types, FDV calculation, and the fallback resolution if no token is launched by the deadline.Primary resolution logic: Most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET on the day following launch.

Core resolution logic:

  • The FDV must be calculated using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
  • Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token's launch.
  • Only official tokens (excluding stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs, and synthetic tokens) are eligible.
  • If Papertrade does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the markets resolve to 'No'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Launch Timing: If a token launches very close to 4:00 PM ET, the FDV will be assessed at 4:00 PM ET the *following* day.
  • Data Availability: If price data is unavailable from the most liquid source, the auditor will use the next most liquid source.
  • Token Splits/Mergers: Any token splits or mergers occurring before the resolution time will be factored into the total token supply calculation.
Timing: 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the launch of Papertrade's token.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Papertrade's token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Papertrade after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Papertrade (https://x.com/papertrade_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Papertrade's token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Papertrade after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Papertrade (https://x.com/papertrade_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, the Papertrade FDV market dashboard tracks predictions on whether the fully diluted valuation (FDV) of Papertrade will exceed $25 million one day after the project’s launch. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a 10.1 percentage point difference in probability, with a combined volume of $385,348. This represents significant interest in the potential success of Papertrade and its future market capitalization. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are pricing this outcome, offering insight into market sentiment. The 24-hour volume is $1,020.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd estimate of future probabilities. Unlike simply looking at current spot prices or analyst predictions, this market aggregates diverse perspectives and incentivizes accurate forecasting. The price action here represents what traders believe is the likelihood of Papertrade’s FDV exceeding a specific threshold one day after launch. This can provide a different signal than traditional financial analysis, potentially incorporating factors not immediately apparent in current market valuations.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict on the Papertrade FDV market can arise due to variations in user base, trading activity, and risk appetite. Polymarket currently favors the outcome of Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch at 53.0%, while Predict leans toward the same outcome at 42.9%. These differences reflect the unique dynamics of each platform’s market participants and their individual assessments of the project’s potential. Furthermore, differing liquidity and market-making strategies can also contribute to price divergence.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2028, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on the reported FDV of Papertrade one day after its launch, as determined by publicly available data sources. Traders should monitor news and official announcements related to Papertrade’s launch to stay informed about potential catalysts that could influence the final outcome of this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding Papertrade’s pre-launch funding rounds, partnerships, or technological developments could shift expectations about its FDV. Positive announcements, such as major exchange listings or prominent investor endorsements, would likely increase the probability of the outcome. Conversely, negative news, such as security vulnerabilities or regulatory concerns, could decrease it. Overall market sentiment towards crypto assets and the broader tech sector will also play a role in price movements.