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Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 12?
polymarket

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 12?

Volume:
$1,318

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 12?

 - Polymarket

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 12? - Polymarket

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Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 5:44 PM EST

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Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on October 12?

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,318
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on October 12, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on October 12, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on October 12, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on October 12, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Palantir stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down on October 12. You’ll find a price history showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $1,313. The total volume traded on this market is $1,318. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and see how much capital is backing each potential outcome regarding the future price of Palantir.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts for Palantir. While some analysts maintain a ‘buy’ rating, citing the company’s growth potential in government contracts and data analytics, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a broader range of opinions and real-time reactions to news and events. It's important to remember that analyst forecasts are often based on longer-term projections, whereas this market focuses on a specific, near-term outcome: the stock price on October 12.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Palantir stock will be up or down on October 12. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased representing an “up” outcome, the higher the price will climb, and vice versa for the “down” outcome. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Palantir stock on October 12 will be used to determine whether the market settles in favor of ‘up’ or ‘down’. The final price will be sourced from a reputable financial data provider and will be publicly available. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 12, 2026. Major news regarding Palantir’s government contracts, particularly with agencies like the Department of Defense, would likely have a substantial impact. Any significant announcements regarding the company’s financial performance, such as revenue growth or earnings reports, could also shift the odds. Broader market trends and overall investor sentiment towards tech stocks could also influence trading activity in this market, as could any unexpected geopolitical events impacting the financial sector.