TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 12:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to how much "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day second weekend (October 16 - 18) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to how much "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day second weekend (October 16 - 18) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts for the second weekend box office of Other Mommy. While some analysts predict a significant drop from the opening weekend, this market suggests a more moderate decline. It’s important to remember that analyst forecasts are often based on historical data and studio projections, whereas this market represents the collective wisdom of traders responding to real-time information and sentiment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and the incorporation of various factors influencing box office revenue.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different box office outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market's current probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time view of expectations. The market’s efficiency relies on informed traders and active participation, leading to a price that reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official second weekend box office numbers for Other Mommy are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the reported domestic box office gross for the film’s second weekend of release, as reported by a widely recognized source of box office data. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and how it aligns with their predictions once the official figures are released and verified.
Several signals could significantly move this market before its resolution. Positive or negative critical reviews emerging during the week could influence audience turnout. Unexpected news surrounding the film's cast or director, or even competing film releases, could also shift expectations. Social media buzz and early reports of ticket sales trends will be closely watched. Additionally, any changes to the number of theaters showing Other Mommy could impact its box office performance and, consequently, the trading activity in this market.