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Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations
🌟New
polymarket

Who will be nominated for Best Actress?

Oct 14, 2026, 8:41 AM EST - Mar 14, 2027, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$6,063
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$7,176
0.5%
Open interest:
$3,322N/A

Julianne Moore

 - Polymarket

Julianne Moore - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Mar 15, 2027

Will Julianne Moore be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

91%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 93¢ buys you 108 shares | Odds: 91% Total Payout: $108 | Net Profit: $8 Multiplier: 1.08x | ROI: 8% | APY: 19% Low liquidity 150 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Julianne Moore

Trade
91%
Yes 93¢No 11¢
4¢
$454
$616
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Inde Navarrette

Trade
88%
Yes 93¢No 17¢
10¢
$118
$411
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Olivia Wilde

Trade
59%
Yes 62¢No 44¢
6¢
$489
$367
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Sandra Hüller

Trade
43%
Yes 45¢No 60¢
5¢
$431
$152
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Virginie Efira

Trade
40%
Yes 40¢No 61¢
1¢
$425
$61
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Ruth Madeley

Trade
33%
Yes 33¢No 68¢
1¢
$484
$454
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Emily Blunt

Trade
14%
Yes 15¢No 86¢
1¢
$553
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Joan Collins

Trade
9%
Yes 10¢No 92¢
2¢
$123
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Mikey Madison

Trade
6%
Yes 7¢No 95¢
2¢
$123
$41
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Kirsten Dunst

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
$419
$71
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Zendaya

Trade
5%
Yes 7¢No 97¢
4¢
$77
$240
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Sophie Okonedo

Trade
5%
Yes 6.1¢No 96.5¢
2.6¢
$115
$270
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Dakota Johnson

Trade
4%
Yes 7.7¢No 98.9¢
6.6¢
$39
$185
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Shailene Woodley

Trade
3%
Yes 5.5¢No 98.7¢
4.2¢
$121
$413
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Scarlett Johansson

Trade
3%
Yes 5.5¢No 98.8¢
4.3¢
$82
$605
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Penélope Cruz

Trade
3%
Yes 6¢No 99.7¢
5.7¢
$47
$538
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Michelle Williams

Trade
3%
Yes 4.9¢No 99.6¢
4.5¢
$110
$594
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Anne Hathaway

Trade
1%
Yes 1.2¢No 99¢
0.2¢
$267
$678
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Natalie Portman

Trade
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99¢
0.1¢
$122
$323
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Renate Reinsve

Trade
38%
Yes 39¢No 63¢
2¢
$115
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Rosalind Eleazar

Trade
17%
Yes 17¢No 84¢
1¢
$515
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Cynthia Erivo

Trade
22%
Yes 22¢No 79¢
1¢
$899
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Daisy Edgar-Jones

Trade
9%
Yes 9¢No 92¢
1¢
$371
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Laura Linney

Trade
7%
Yes 8¢No 95¢
3¢
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
polymarket

Michelle Monaghan

Trade
4%
Yes 5¢No 98¢
3¢
$115
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo
active
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Best Actress nominations market tracks the current odds of various actresses receiving a nomination, the total volume traded, and a price history chart showing how those odds have shifted over time. You can also see the 24-hour volume, indicating recent trading activity. Currently, the total volume for this market is $6,063 and the 24-hour volume is $6,068. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on who will be nominated for the prestigious award.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts frequently focus on critical acclaim and past awards, this market incorporates a broader range of factors, including social media buzz, box office performance, and the perceived strength of potential contenders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and the influence of collective intelligence within the market. It's common to see actors with strong analytical support trading at different probabilities than those favored by the crowd in this market.

This market resolves around Mar 15, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official nominations for the Best Actress category at the 2027 Oscars are announced and verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the list of nominees released by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. Any actress officially named as a nominee will result in a payout for shares held in their favor on Polymarket at the time of resolution. The final list will be the definitive source for determining the outcome.

Several factors could significantly influence this market between now and Mar 15, 2027. Major film releases starring potential nominees, particularly those receiving critical acclaim or strong box office numbers, will likely cause shifts in the odds. Awards season precursors, such as the Golden Globes, Critics' Choice Awards, and the Screen Actors Guild Awards, often serve as key indicators and can dramatically alter trading activity. Unexpected controversies or positive publicity surrounding actresses could also move this market, as could any major changes in the perceived competitiveness of the field.