TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?
polymarket

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?

Volume:
$37,246

675-725T

 - Polymarket

675-725T - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 4:16 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

675-725T

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,994
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

725T+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,648
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

625-675T

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,987
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

575-625T

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,951
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<575T

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,666
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to the total number of tokens processed on OpenRouter for the four weeks of September 28 to October 25, 2026. The total number of tokens is the sum of the weekly totals displayed in the Top Models chart on OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings page (https://openrouter.ai/rankings#top-models) for the weeks of September 28, October 5, October 12 and October 19, 2026. OpenRouter's weeks run from 12:00 AM UTC on Monday to 11:59 PM UTC on Sunday, and a week's figures continue to update until the following week's figures are first displayed. This market will resolve according to the totals displayed for those four weeks once the figures for the week of October 26, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of October 26, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on October 30, 2026, this market will resolve according to the totals displayed for those four weeks at that time. This market will resolve based on the totals as displayed on the chart, including any rounding applied by OpenRouter. If the total falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the total number of tokens processed on OpenRouter for the four weeks of September 28 to October 25, 2026. The total number of tokens is the sum of the weekly totals displayed in the Top Models chart on OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings page (https://openrouter.ai/rankings#top-models) for the weeks of September 28, October 5, October 12 and October 19, 2026. OpenRouter's weeks run from 12:00 AM UTC on Monday to 11:59 PM UTC on Sunday, and a week's figures continue to update until the following week's figures are first displayed. This market will resolve according to the totals displayed for those four weeks once the figures for the week of October 26, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of October 26, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on October 30, 2026, this market will resolve according to the totals displayed for those four weeks at that time. This market will resolve based on the totals as displayed on the chart, including any rounding applied by OpenRouter. If the total falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the OpenRouter token usage market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour volume. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $912 and the total volume is $37,210. Users can view how the implied probability of different outcomes has shifted over time, providing insight into market sentiment. The dashboard provides a visual representation of trading activity and allows for easy monitoring of this market's performance. It’s a central hub for anyone interested in following the predictions surrounding OpenRouter token usage.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, influenced by new information and shifts in sentiment. Higher demand for shares increases the price, indicating growing confidence in the outcome, while increased selling pressure lowers the price. This creates a real-time assessment of the market's expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total amount of tokens processed by OpenRouter between September 28th and October 25th. The specific amount that determines the outcome is defined within the market’s rules on Polymarket. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or losses based on the final, verified result. It’s important to review the market’s documentation for complete details regarding the resolution process.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 26, 2026. Major announcements regarding OpenRouter’s partnerships, technological developments, or changes in token usage patterns could all impact trading activity. Unexpected news related to the broader cryptocurrency market or regulatory changes could also influence sentiment. Additionally, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding the dynamics of this market and anticipating potential shifts in the odds.